Tarmogoyf was a rare. People forget that. The most expensive creature in Modern for years got printed at plain old rare in Future Sight, and every Tarmogoyf reprint since has bumped it up to mythic, as if Wizards was embarrassed about the first time.

The newest one is in Reality Fracture, which releases October 2. The main-set Goyf is number 116 with new art by Lucas Graciano, and there’s an alternate-art version at number 374 by Micha Huigen. It’s the first time Goyf has been Standard-legal since the Future Sight days, and since Reality Fracture is a Standard set, it’s Pioneer-legal now too. Whether it’s actually good in either format is a question for people who play more Pioneer than I do. (MTGRocks points out there are no fetchlands in Standard to fill graveyards with land cards, which seems like a real problem.)

Tarmogoyf from Reality Fracture, the new main-set printing

What I care about is the other twelve printings, because a lot of people own one of those. Here’s where they all sit this week, non-foil first and foil second where both exist:

(The twelfth is a Historic Anthology copy that only exists on Arena, so it has no price.)

The Reality Fracture printing has no $ price on Scryfall yet. Cardmarket already lists it at €4.06, and €6.99 for the foil.

The Tarmogoyf reprint has almost nothing left to crash

Six different printings of the same card are sitting within about a dollar of each other, somewhere between six and eight bucks. That’s what a card looks like once the market has stopped caring which printing it is. The Masters versions were the ones people bought to play Modern with, and Modern stopped needing Goyf a while ago. The Modern Horizons sets did most of that damage, and they didn’t even have to reprint it.

So the Reality Fracture copy lands on a card that’s already been priced as a casual pickup. If the Cardmarket number is roughly right, the new one settles a few dollars under the Masters copies, and they probably slide down toward it. Losing two or three dollars on a $6.55 Modern Masters 2017 Goyf is annoying. I’d live.

Hmm. I keep coming back to print runs, though. The Masters sets were limited products, and people complained about how few boxes there were every single time. Reality Fracture is a regular Standard expansion with Play Boosters on every shelf. A mythic in a Standard set could mean more new Goyfs next month than every Masters printing combined, and I honestly don’t know what that does to a floor. It’s not like it has a lot of room to fall, but “not a lot of room” and “none” are different things when the whole card is worth six dollars. My guess is still that the older copies drift and don’t crater. If you were planning to sell a Masters Goyf anyway, I’d do it before October 2 rather than after.

I opened a Modern Masters 2015 Goyf in a draft the summer that set came out. It was the only draft of that set I ever did, because the packs were expensive and I’m cheap. I sold it to the store’s buylist the same night for a bit over a hundred in store credit, which felt incredibly smart. Then I spent every cent of that credit on more Modern Masters 2015 packs, and the best thing I opened was a Vendilion Clique that I also traded away within a month. I don’t know what the lesson is there. Probably that I shouldn’t be allowed near a buylist after 10pm.

The Future Sight Goyf is a different card, price-wise

The Future Sight original has the future-shifted frame, that odd sci-fi border Future Sight used for its futureshifted cards, and it’s the one printing that isn’t clustered with the rest. The List gives you an unexpectedly neat way to split the premium in two. The List copy is the same Justin Murray art in the same future frame, printed years later with a small planeswalker symbol in the corner. It sells for $11.85. The actual 2007 card is $25.10.

Tarmogoyf from Future Sight in the future-shifted frame

Roughly, then: the frame alone is worth about five dollars over a Masters copy, and being the real 2007 card is worth another thirteen or so. No Standard reprint touches either of those numbers, because nobody deciding between a Future Sight Goyf and a Reality Fracture Goyf is making a decision about gameplay.

The foils are where it gets silly. A Future Sight foil is $188.12. The next most expensive regular foil is the original Modern Masters at $31.75, and the rest sit between about seven and fifteen dollars. Foils from 2007 packs are scarce, they’ve mostly had nearly two decades to get scuffed, and the people who want them want that exact card. I’d be surprised if a new mythic foil in Reality Fracture moves it at all. I’d be a lot more nervous holding the Modern Masters foil, which has a premium that mostly comes from being early, and being early seems like a flimsier reason for a price than being the original.

It’s the same pattern I wrote about with the Eye of Ugin Special Guests reprint. The reprint hurts the copies people bought to play with and leaves the ones people bought to own mostly alone. Goyf is just a much more extreme case of it, since the play copies already took their beating years ago. I went into reprint exposure and chase cards more generally in another post, and Goyf is the example I keep using there, too.

Check which Goyf you actually have

So yeah, this is the annoying bit. Modern Masters 2015 and Modern Masters 2017 are the same Ryan Barger art in the same frame. Same card, basically. Only the set symbol changes. And the original Modern Masters is also Ryan Barger’s art, just in the older frame. I had to look at mine twice. Honestly, for the non-foils, it barely matters, it’s nine cents between them.

It matters a lot more for the foils and the Future Sight copy. A foil Modern Masters Goyf at $31.75 and a foil Modern Masters 2015 at $13.10 look close enough that it’s easy to log the wrong one. Ultimate Masters and the box topper share Filip Burburan’s art, and the box topper is $19.29 against $12.48 for the regular foil.

I scanned my Goyfs into Eldwyn the day the reprint got spoiled, mostly to settle that exact question, and it got the printing right on all four. If you’re going by eye, look at the set symbol and the frame before anything else. The art won’t help much with this card.

If your Goyf turns out to be a Future Sight copy in decent shape, the PSA post covers whether grading one is worth it right now. Short version: I graded mine and I have mixed feelings about it. For everything else, it’s a six-dollar green creature that happens to have a great story, and October 2 might knock another couple of dollars off it.